Archives for August 2013

Distressed Home Sale Statistics

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Equity home sales make up four of five sales and reach highest level in nearly six years

LOS ANGELES (July 23) – The share of equity home sales in California continued to expand in June, comprising four of every five home sales, thanks primarily to a drop in distressed sales. Meanwhile, sales of REOs fell into the single-digits for the third straight month and registered levels not seen since September 2007, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.

Distressed housing market data:

• The combined share of all distressed property sales continued to decline in June, dropping to 20.1 percent in June, down from 21.8 percent in May and down from 42.2 percent in June 2012. Twenty-one of the 36 reported counties showed a month-to-month decrease in the share of distressed sales, with San Mateo and Santa Clara each recording the smallest share at 7 percent for both counties in June.

• The share of equity sales – or non-distressed property sales – continued to expand in June and now makes up four in five sales, the highest share since December 2007. The share of equity sales in June increased to 79.9 percent, up from 78.2 percent in May. Equity sales made up more than half (57.8 percent) of all sales in June 2012.

• Of the distressed properties, the share of short sales was 12.9 percent in June, down from 14 percent in May and down from 21.4 percent a year ago. The June 2013 figure was the lowest since June 2009. The continuing decline in short sales indicates more previously underwater homes are moving into positive equity as home prices remain on an upward trend.

• The share of REO sales also continued to fall, dropping to single-digits for the third straight month, down from 7.3 percent in May to 6.6 percent in June and from 20.4 percent in June 2012.

• The available supply of homes loosened in June, particularly for equity sales, but remained tight. At 1.8 months, June’s Unsold Inventory Index for REOs was essentially unchanged from 1.7 months in May. The supply of short sales inched upward from 2.3 months in May to 2.4 months in June. The June Unsold Inventory Index for equity sales rose from 2.8 months in May to 3.1 months in June.

Multimedia:

View a chart of pending sales compared with closed sales

 

Type of Sale Jun-13 May-13 Jun-12
Equity Sales 79.9% 78.2% 57.8%
Total Distressed Sales 20.1% 21.8% 42.2%
REOs 6.6% 7.3% 20.4%
Short Sales 12.9% 14.0% 21.4%
Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
All Sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Single-Family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties (percent of total sales)

County Jun-13 May-13 Jun-12
Alameda 9% 11% NA
Amador NA NA 55%
Butte 16% 20% 36%
Contra Costa 10% 9% NA
El Dorado 22% 21% 44%
Fresno 36% 38% 54%
Humboldt 20% 16% 28%
Kern 25% 25% 48%
Kings 44% 38% NA
Lake 35% 36% 63%
Los Angeles 21% 23% 41%
Madera 33% 52% 57%
Marin 9% 8% 20%
Mendocino 33% 31% 48%
Merced 36% 32% 52%
Monterey 32% 29% 50%
Napa 13% 20% 47%
Orange 14% 14% 31%
Placer 16% 21% 41%
Riverside 26% 29% 52%
Sacramento 26% 29% 53%
San Benito 26% 30% 63%
San Bernardino 29% 32% 58%
San Diego 6% 7% 22%
San Joaquin 35% 36% 61%
San Luis Obispo 13% 15% 34%
San Mateo 7% 4% 21%
Santa Clara 7% 7% 23%
Santa Cruz 11% 10% 42%
Siskiyou 24% 30% 59%
Solano 30% 36% 63%
Sonoma 17% 19% 40%
Stanislaus 30% 40% 61%
Tehama NA NA 45%
Tulare 27% 37% 54%
Yolo 24% 25% 46%
California 20% 22% 42%

Click on graph for larger image
Share of Equity Sales -June2013

Click on graph for larger image
Median Price by Type of Sale -June2013


C.A.R.’s Distressed Home Sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state.

Mortgage rates are moving up again

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Following a two-week decline, mortgage rates are once again on the rise.

After trending downward the past two weeks, the average rate on a 30-year fixed loan rose to 0.08 percentage point to 4.39 percent this week, according to the latest survey by mortgage lender Freddie Mac. One year ago, the average on a 30-year fixed-rate loan was trending at 3.55 percent, an increase of 0.84 percentage points.

The average rate on a 15-year fixed loan saw its own increase, albeit slight. Previously at 3.39 percent a week ago, the average on a 15-year loan rose by 0.04 percentage point to 3.43 percent. A year ago, the average on a 15-year loan was at 2.83 percent, an increase of 0.6 percentage point.

In early July, the average on a 30-year loan spiked to a two-year high over concerns that the Federal Reserve would curb its massive bond-purchase program. As concerns eased, so did mortgage rates, including the 30-year fixed, which fell to 4.31 percent before seeing an uptick this week. Comparably, the average on a 15-year fixed loan had previously achieved a historic low in early May, when it fell to 2.56 percent, before jumping to as high as 3.53 percent in mid-July.

The latest rise in mortgage rates can be attributed to the release of report by the Fed that indicated it would continue its stimulus policies involving $85 million worth of Treasury notes and mortgage-backed securities in the interim, but will likely begin to curb its purchases. Tapering its buy-back program is expected to continue to put upward pressure on mortgage rates in the coming months.

“Mortgage rates rose slightly leading up to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy statement this week,” Frank E. Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist, said in a statement. “The Fed indicated that the economy expanded at a modest pace, but the unemployment rate remains elevated.”

According to mortgage expert Al Bowman, the Labor Department recorded 326,000 new claims for unemployment benefits, which was nearly 20,000 less than what was expected. Despite a high unemployment rate, the reduced number or claims filed indicates “that the employment sector was stronger” than originally thought.

The average rate on a 5-year hybrid adjustable loan rose slightly from 3.16 percent a week ago to 3.18 percent. After holding firm at 2.66 percent over a four week period that ran from late June through July, the average on a 1-year hybrid adjustable loan dropped for the second consecutive week, falling ever-so-slightly from 2.65 percent to 2.64 percent.

Looking ahead, mortgage rates are expected to trend downward. In the latest Mortgage Rate Trend Index by Bankrate.com, 71 percent of the loan experts polled believe rates will either go down or remain static over the next week. “Mortgage bond yields fell after the Fed’s monetary policy statement offered no timetable for reducing (quantitative easing) bond purchases,” says Holden Lewis, Bankrate.com assistant managing editor. “That’s the new normal, at least until the employment report comes out August 2.”